graduates

The Foolish Endeavor of Rating Ed Schools by Graduates’ Value-Added

Via School Finance 101.

Knowing that I’ve been writing a fair amount about various methods for attributing student achievement to their teachers, several colleagues forwarded to me the recently released standards of the Council For the Accreditation of Educator Preparation, or CAEP. Specifically, several colleagues pointed me toward Standard 4.1 Impact on Student Learning:

4.1.The provider documents, using value-added measures where available, other state-supported P-12 impact measures, and any other measures constructed by the provider, that program completers contribute to an expected level of P-12 student growth.

http://caepnet.org/commission/standards/standard4/

Now, it’s one thing when relatively under-informed pundits, think tankers, politicians and their policy advisors pitch a misguided use of statistical information for immediate policy adoption. It’s yet another when professional organizations are complicit in this misguided use. There’s just no excuse for that! (political pressure, public polling data, or otherwise)

The problems associated with attempting to derive any reasonable conclusions about teacher preparation program quality based on value-added or student growth data (of the students they teach in their first assignments) are insurmountable from a research perspective.

Worse, the perverse incentives likely induced by such a policy are far more likely to do real harm than any good, when it comes to the distribution of teacher and teaching quality across school settings within states.

First and foremost, the idea that we can draw this simple line below between preparation and practice contradicts nearly every reality of modern day teacher credentialing and progress into and through the profession:

one teacher prep institution –> one teacher –> one job in one school –> one representative group of students

The modern day teacher collects multiple credentials from multiple institutions, may switch jobs a handful of times early in his/her career and may serve a very specific type of student, unlike those taught by either peers from the same credentialing program or those from other credentialing programs. This model also relies heavily on minimal to no migration of teachers across state borders (well, either little or none, or a ton of it, so that a state would have a large enough share of teachers from specific out of state institutions to compare). I discuss these issues in earlier posts.

Setting aside that none of the oversimplified assumptions of the linear diagram above hold (a lot to ignore!), let’s probe the more geeky technical issues of trying to use VAM to evaluate ed school effectiveness.

There exist a handful of recent studies which attempt to tease out certification program effects on graduate’s student’s outcomes, most of which encounter the same problems. Here’s a look at one of the better studies on this topic.

  • Mihaly, K., McCaffrey, D. F., Sass, T. R., & Lockwood, J. R. (2012). Where You Come From or Where You Go?

Specifically, this study tries to tease out the problem that arises when graduates of credentialing programs don’t sort evenly across a state. In other words, a problem that ALWAYS occurs in reality!

Researchy language tends to downplay these problems by phrasing them only in technical terms and always assuming there is some way to overcome them with statistical tweak or two. Sometimes there just isn’t and this is one of those times!

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The (real) looming teacher crisis

“Reform movements in education are notorious for their tendencies toward presentism–for painting the past in the darkest possible light in order to stress the urgent need for rapid and major transformation of the status quo”–Sedlak & Schlossman, 1987

Unfortunately, economic decline has opened policy windows for educational reformers to wreak havoc on public education, impacting all public school educators. In this environment, there are clear winners and losers; individuals who are losing during this time are recent college graduates. From the Economic Policy Institute:

As more and more teachers are cut from the public sector, public schools are left with a teacher shortage. During typical decline, student enrollment decreases which sparks school closings and teacher cuts. However during current decline public school enrollment is projected to increase nationally, by about 6%. Consequently, classroom student-teacher ratios are at risk of increasing if jobs continue to be slashed. More importantly, preservice and beginning teachers are being stranded on the sidelines without employment opportunities. I wonder how teacher certified college graduates have managed to stay current with educational trends if they have not found full time teaching jobs over the past 2-3 years? Will these recent graduates ever be able to find jobs in education if they haven’t found full time employment in the past two years? I suspect that college graduates who were aspiring to become teachers but who have no found full time employment have moved onto other professions. For public schools teachers who are in the profession, I predict the following will be important to keep in mind going forward:

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Assessing Ourselves To Death

I have two points to make. The first is something that I think everyone knows: Educational outcomes, such as graduation and test scores, are signals of or proxies for the traits that lead to success in life, not the cause of that success.

For example, it is well-documented that high school graduates earn more, on average, than non-graduates. Thus, one often hears arguments that increasing graduation rates will drastically improve students’ future prospects, and the performance of the economy overall. Well, not exactly.

The piece of paper, of course, only goes so far. Rather, the benefits of graduation arise because graduates are more likely to possess the skills – including the critical non-cognitive sort – that make people good employees (and, on a highly related note, because employers know that, and use credentials to screen applicants).

We could very easily increase the graduation rate by easing requirements, but this wouldn’t do much to help kids advance in the labor market. They might get a few more calls for interviews, but over the long haul, they’d still be at a tremendous disadvantage if they lacked the required skills and work habits.

Moreover, employers would quickly catch on, and adjust course accordingly. They’d stop relying as much on high school graduation to screen potential workers. This would not only deflate the economic value of a diploma, but high school completion would also become a less useful measure for policymakers and researchers.

This is, of course, one of the well-known risks of a high-stakes focus on metrics such as test scores. Test-based accountability presumes that tests can account for ability. We all know about what is sometimes called “Campbell’s Law,” and we’ve all heard the warnings and complaints about so-called “teaching to the test.” Some people take these arguments too far, while others are too casually dismissive. In general, though, the public (if not all policymakers) have a sense that test-based accountability can be a good thing so long as it is done correctly and doesn’t go too far.

Now, here’s my second point: I’m afraid we’ve gone too far.

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Education News for 03-06-2012

Statewide Education News

  • Ohio State Board Of Education president pays visit to Steubenville schools (WTOV 9 NBC)
  • STEUBENVILLE - Members of the Ohio State Board of Education visited Jefferson County on Monday to take a look at Steubenville City Schools. Debe Terhar, president of the Ohio education board, spoke to Steubenville City Schools Superintendent Mike McVey about the school district's achievements. Wells Academy is ranked one of the best schools in the state. Terhar said she plans to help other schools improve by putting in place common core standards. Read More…

  • Teachers at low-scoring schools to take new test (Dayton Daily News)
  • This fall, thousands of teachers in Ohio’s lowest-performing schools will be required to take new licensing tests. The requirement — a provision of the state budget law — likely would make Ohio the first state to take this step. It would impact teachers in core subject areas whose schools are in the bottom 10 percent based on Performance Index scores and are in “Academic Watch” or “Academic Emergency.” The rankings would be based on Performance Index scores on the next state report cards which come out in August. Read More…

  • Local school districts exploring using solar power energy (Newark Advocate)
  • HANOVER - A handful of Licking County school districts are exploring using solar energy to provide a portion of their electricity. The solar fields, which still are under negotiation, would supply a portion of electricity to one to three schools in the Lakewood, Licking Valley, Northridge and Southwest Licking school districts. Granville also has been exploring using solar power since at least 2010. "Obviously, you look at every possible way to cut costs you can," Lakewood Superintendent Jay Gault said. "It was going to be huge money we were going to saving over a 20-year period." Read More…

  • Senate GOP ready to act on pension fund issues (Dispatch)
  • Although a $240,000 study likely won’t be finished, years of talking about major changes to Ohio’s five public-pension systems could quickly turn into action this spring in the Ohio Senate. Senate Republican leaders say they expect to act before summer break on plans the pension systems have already proposed to address their long-term solvency issues — if their boards prove that they and their members support the changes. Read More…

Local Issues

  • Another 50 jobs could go in Lakota (Enquirer)
  • LIBERTY TWP. — When Lakota school officials began to comb through the district for cost savings, they said everything was on the table for possible elimination. Now after Monday evening’s final school board meeting reviewing a series of historically deep budget cut proposals, members will soon decide what stays and what goes – including the fate of more than 150 school jobs. Lakota officials presented the latest round of cuts – about 50 positions – to the board during its meeting at Lakota East High School before an audience of more than 120. Read More…

  • Remediation high among district grads (Vindicator)
  • Youngstown - A report from the Ohio Board of Regents shows a high percentage of city school graduates who attended college had to take remedial college courses. The report, from 2009 but released last August, shows that 72 percent of Chaney High School graduates, 83 percent of East graduates and 38 percent of Youngstown Early College graduates took either developmental math or English in college. The percentages were highlighted in February during a city schools Academic Distress Commission meeting. Read More…

  • School district expected to save with change in special education service provider (Chillicothe Gazette)
  • CHILLICOTHE - This past week, Chillicothe City Schools switched providers for special education services, a move expected to save the district money at a time when budget cuts are imminent. The board of education on Feb. 27 approved a contract with the Ross County Board of Developmental Disabilities, better known as the Pioneer Center, to provide special education services to students with multiple disabilities and preschoolers with disabilities for the 2012-13 school year. Read More…