A new poll from Public Policy Polling has been released
50% of Ohioans say they would vote to reject Senate Bill 5 if the election was today, to 39% who would vote to accept it. Those are encouraging numbers for pro-labor interests but when we last polled the state in May 55% of voters say they were against the bill to only 35% in favor of it. So the trendlines at least are working in favor of the bill remaining as law.
Democrats (69/21) are more in favor of rejecting the bill than Republicans (58/29) are of accepting it. But independents have moved from 52/40 opposition to it in May to 46/44 support for it now.
The odds are still stacked against SB 5 staying enacted but just like we saw in the Wisconsin recalls the anger is not there at the same level it was during the spring, which has to be a slight cause of concern for those working to reject it.
We discussed the liklihood of this tightening some time ago. Repeating our advice from that post
The bottom line -
- We have to work hard through the summer and fall to talk to voters and convince them that repealing SB5 is the right thing to do
- In the closing month of the election get as many people to vote early as possible
- On election day, get as many supporters of repeal to the polls as possible
That's a lot of work. Ready for it?
Below are the polling trends for SB5.
Poll | For SB5 | Against SB5 |
---|---|---|
PPP Mar 15th | 31% | 54% |
Wenzel Apr 12th | 38% | 51% |
Quinnipiac May 18th | 36% | 54% |
PPP May 25th | 35% | 55% |
Quinnipiac Jul 20th | 32% | 56% |
PPP Aug 18th | 39% | 50% |