Article

Ohio House Dems won popular vote

Issue 2, also known as voters first was heavily defeated 63-37, under an avalanche of opposition money seeking to maintain the status quo. Had issue 2 been successful it would have given the ability of voters to pick their representatives, rather than the current gerrymandered reverse situation.

Just how bad is the current system of rigged districts? We took a look at the 99 Ohio house races. Our analysis found that despite the Democrats trailing republics in the new legislature 60-39, they actually won the popular vote.

Democrats received a total of 2,418,815 votes across the 99 house district and the Republicans only 2,362,310 - over 56,000 less. If districts were apportioned according to the weight of voters actually preference, the Democrats would have a majority of 51-48, not rendered all but impotent trailing 60-39.

The current situation is so untenable, even critics of issue 2 agree reforms are needed.

But a number of GOP critics of Issue 2 also agreed that the current redistricting process needs to be changed. So the big question now is: What happens next?

A bipartisan legislative redistricting task force has met a few times and is supposed to recommend changes to the House and Senate in December. Also, some say the Constitutional Modernization Commission should make redistricting one of its top priorities.

Catherine Turcer, chairwoman of Voters First Ohio, the coalition that pushed Issue 2, and Ohio State University election-law expert Daniel Tokaji, who helped draft the plan, said that at least there was agreement that the system needs to be changed.

“If we all agree that the system is broken, we should also agree that the people of Ohio should not have to wait until 2022 to fix it,” they said in a joint statement. “It’s time to put voters first and come together to agree on a solution.”

Gov. John Kasich added: “Reforms need to be considered in a thoughtful, bipartisan way to ensure that districts are competitive and fair and Ohioans’ interests are fully represented.”

These unfair districts also explain the disappointing results of races involving educators

But Stephen Brooks, a political scientist with the Bliss Institute at the University of Akron, says all that probably had little to do with the way the races turned out.

“They were not in well-designed districts for Democrats to run in so I’m not sure being a schoolteacher or not being a schoolteacher had much to do with that. They were having difficult races because they were running in non-competitive districts, if you will,” he says.

The only one of the new teacher-candidates to win is John Patterson, who will represent House District 99 in Ashtabula County. Two other former teachers who were incumbents retained their seats in the Ohio House.

A system where the majority of citizens are not represented by their preferred elected leaders is not a sustainable system. The current Ohio General Assembly, and the 130th that will follow it have no mandate from the voters, and their first course of action ought to be to repair the broken redistricting system immediately.

November 2012 School Levy Results

It was a good night for a lot of school levies. Requests for new money were passed at rates 10% higher than last November's levies efforts, and renewals held steady at their normal 85% rate.

The biggest news, perhaps, was the passage of the Cleveland school levy 57-43. It's been a long time since Cleveland has produced such strong support for their schools, and that support now needs to be rewarded with a plan that delivers a quality education.

New renewal Failed Passed Pass %
New 76 45 32.2%
Renewal 10 60 85.7%
Over all 87 105 54.7%

Here's the full list of results.

County District Result N/R For Against
Allen Apollo Career Center Failed New 46.0% 54.0%
Allen Elida Local Failed Renewal 40.0% 60.0%
Allen Lima City Passed New 55.0% 45.0%
Allen Shawnee Local Passed Renewal 62.0% 38.0%
Allen Spencerville Local Passed Renewal 57.7% 42.3%
Ashland Ashland City Passed New 56.1% 43.9%
Ashland Hillsdale Local Failed New 42.7% 57.3%
Ashland West Holmes JVS Passed Renewal 59.6% 40.4%
Ashland West Holmes JVS Passed Renewal 58.5% 41.5%
Ashtabula Ashtabula Area City Failed New 42.7% 57.3%
Ashtabula Grand Valley Local Failed New 43.2% 56.8%
Ashtabula Jefferson Area Local Failed Renewal 49.5% 50.5%
Ashtabula Jefferson Area Local Failed Renewal 46.2% 53.9%
Athens Athens City Passed Renewal 65.3% 34.7%
Athens Trimble Local Failed New 46.9% 53.1%
Belmont Bellaire Local Failed New 42.7% 57.3%
Brown Western Brown Local Failed New 43.0% 57.0%
Butler Monroe Local Passed New 54.7% 45.3%
Carroll Brown Local Failed New 48.5% 51.5%
Champaign Urbana City Failed New 42.0% 58.0%
Clark Clark-Shawnee Local Passed Renewal 56.3% 43.7%
Clark Greenon Local Failed New 44.9% 55.2%
Clark Northeastern Local Failed New 40.0% 60.1%
Clark Tecumseh Local Failed New 43.8% 56.2%
Clermont Batavia Local Passed New 50.4% 49.6%
Clermont Milford EV Failed New 49.3% 50.7%
Clermont West Clermont Local Failed New 39.7% 60.3%
Clinton Blanchester Local Passed Renewal 69.6% 30.4%
Clinton East Clinton Local Failed 38.3% 61.7%
Coshocton Coshocton City Passed Renewal 61.7% 38.3%
Crawford Galion City Failed New 32.4% 67.6%
Cuyahoga Bay Village City Passed New 60.4% 39.6%
Cuyahoga Brooklyn City Passed Renewal 61.2% 38.9%
Cuyahoga Cleveland Municipal Passed New 56.6% 43.5%
Cuyahoga Euclid City Passed New 50.1% 50.0%
Cuyahoga Fairview Park City Passed Renewal 65.6% 34.5%
Cuyahoga Maple Heights City Passed Renewal 59.8% 40.2%
Cuyahoga North Roylaton City Failed New 47.2% 52.8%
Cuyahoga Richmond Heights Passed New 51.3% 48.7%
Cuyahoga Rocky River City Passed New 55.0% 45.0%
Cuyahoga South Euclid-Lyndhurst Passed New 53.8% 46.2%
Cuyahoga Strongsville City Passed New 50.0% 50.0%
Erie Edison Local Failed New 44.7% 55.3%
Erie Sandusky City Passed New 57.2% 42.8%
Fairfield Walnut Township Local Failed New 37.9% 62.1%
Franklin Dublin City Passed New 54.4% 45.6%
Franklin New Albany-Plain Local Passed New 50.2% 49.8%
Franklin Upper Arlington City Failed New 45.1% 54.9%
Franklin Worthington City Passed New 62.3% 37.7%
Franklin Worthington City Passed New 53.4% 46.6%
Geauga Cardinal Local Passed Renewal 57.8% 42.3%
Geauga Chardon Local Failed New 48.3% 51.7%
Geauga Ledgemont Local Passed New 50.1% 49.9%
Geauga Newbury Local Failed New 43.4% 56.6%
Geauga West Geauga Local Passed New 50.3% 49.8%
Greene Beavercreek City Failed New 49.7% 50.3%
Greene Cedar Cliff Local Passed New 61.8% 38.2%
Greene Fairborn City Failed New 45.7% 54.3%
Greene Xenia Community City Failed New 34.4% 65.6%
Greene Yellow Springs EV Passed New 67.1% 32.9%
Guernsey Cambridge City Passed Renewal 62.1% 37.9%
Hamilton Cincinnati City Passed Renewal 67.2% 32.9%
Hamilton Finneytown Local Passed New 56.0% 44.1%
Hamilton Mt Healthy City Failed New 45.7% 54.3%
Hamilton Northwest Local Failed New 45.5% 54.5%
Hamilton Reading Community Passed Renewal 71.4% 28.7%
Harrison Conotton Valley Union Failed New 43.1% 56.9%
Henry Napoleon Area City Failed New 44.6% 55.4%
Holmes West Holmes Local Passed Renewal 60.2% 39.8%
Huron Monroeville Local Passed New 53.4% 46.6%
Huron Norwalk City Failed New 45.3% 54.7%
Huron Williard City Failed Renewal 42.3% 57.7%
Jefferson Buckeye Local Failed New 38.0% 62.0%
Jefferson Edison Local Failed New 44.5% 55.5%
Jefferson Indian Creek Local Failed New 46.3% 53.7%
Jefferson Jefferson County JVSD Failed New 49.6% 50.4%
Knox Centerburg Local Passed Renewal 62.2% 37.8%
Knox East Knox Local Failed New 39.8% 60.2%
Knox Mount Vernon City Failed New 48.9% 51.1%
Lake Kirtland City Passed New 50.1% 49.9%
Lake Painesville City Passed New 50.3% 49.7%
Lake Willoughby-Eastlake Passed Renewal 59.8% 40.2%
Licking Johnstown-Monroe Passed Renewal 53.1% 46.9%
Licking Licking Heights Local Failed New 37.9% 62.1%
Licking North Fork Local Failed Renewal 42.2% 57.8%
Logan Indian Lake Local Failed New 37.7% 62.3%
Logan West Liberty-Salem Passed New 53.1% 46.9%
Lorain Amherst EV Passed New 52.1% 47.9%
Lorain Avon Lake City Failed New 47.2% 52.9%
Lorain Avon Local Passed New 59.9% 40.1%
Lorain Clearview Local Passed New 52.2% 47.8%
Lorain Columbia Local Passed Renewal 54.6% 45.4%
Lorain Columbia Local Passed Renewal 55.0% 45.0%
Lorain Elyria City Failed New 46.6% 53.4%
Lorain Lorain City Passed New 54.2% 45.8%
Lorain Lorain County JVSD Passed Renewal 60.1% 40.0%
Lorain Midview Local Failed New 38.7% 61.4%
Lorain North Ridgeville City Passed New 56.6% 43.4%
Lorain Oberlin City Passed Renewal 67.4% 32.6%
Lorain Oberlin City Passed Renewal 69.2% 30.9%
Lorain Wellington Exempted Passed New 59.1% 40.9%
Lucas Anthony Wayne Local Passed Renewal 61.7% 38.3%
Lucas Ottawa Hills Local Passed New 65.7% 34.3%
Lucas Toledo City Failed New 47.6% 52.5%
Madison Madison-Plains Local Failed New 45.8% 54.2%
Mahoning Boardman Local Passed New 53.3% 46.7%
Mahoning Jackson-Milton Local Failed New 32.8% 67.2%
Mahoning Jackson-Milton Local Failed Renewal 49.4% 50.6%
Mahoning Poland Local Passed New 55.0% 45.0%
Mahoning South Range Local Passed Renewal 57.6% 42.4%
Mahoning Springfield Local Failed New 47.7% 52.3%
Mahoning Youngstown City Passed Renewal 60.2% 39.8%
Marion River Valley Local Passed Renewal 54.5% 45.5%
Marion Tri-Rivers JVSD Failed New 41.4% 58.6%
Medina Black River Local Failed New 37.6% 62.4%
Medina Black River Local Failed New 35.9% 64.1%
Medina Cloverleaf Local Failed New 46.7% 53.3%
Medina Medina City Failed New 47.8% 52.2%
Mercer Celina City Failed New 32.5% 67.6%
Miami Miami East Local Passed Renewal 52.7% 47.3%
Miami Milton-Union EV Failed Renewal 49.9% 50.1%
Miami Newton Local Passed Renewal 54.0% 46.0%
Monroe Switzerland of Ohio Failed New 38.8% 61.2%
Montgomery Centerville City Failed New 49.5% 50.5%
Montgomery Huber Heights City Failed New 38.3% 61.7%
Montgomery Jefferson Township Failed New 48.7% 51.3%
Montgomery Miamisburg City Passed Renewal 57.2% 42.8%
Montgomery New Lebanon Local Passed Renewal 57.7% 42.3%
Montgomery New Lebanon Local Passed Renewal 59.2% 40.8%
Montgomery Valley View Local Failed New 46.9% 53.1%
Montgomery Vandalia-Butler City Failed New 45.5% 54.5%
Montgomery West Carrollton City Failed New 48.4% 51.6%
Morrow Cardington-Lincoln Failed New 34.7% 65.4%
Muskingum West Muskingum Local Failed New 44.9% 55.1%
Ottawa Port Clinton City Passed Renewal 55.8% 44.2%
Perry New Lexington City Passed Renewal 55.5% 44.5%
Portage Aurora City Passed New 51.2% 48.8%
Portage Crestwood Local Passed New 53.9% 46.1%
Portage Field Local Failed New 47.6% 52.4%
Portage Rootstown Local Passed Renewal 59.7% 40.3%
Portage Waterloo Local Failed New 43.0% 57.0%
Preble Tri-County North Local Passed Renewal 66.0% 34.0%
Putnam Ottawa-Glandorf Local Passed Renewal 65.1% 34.9%
Putnam Pandora-Gilboa Local Passed Renewal 58.8% 41.2%
Richland Mansfield City Failed Renewal 48.6% 51.4%
Richland Shelby City Failed New 32.8% 67.2%
Ross Zane Trace Local Passed Renewal 57.2% 42.8%
Sandusky Bellevue City Passed Renewal 52.6% 47.4%
Sandusky Clyde-Green Springs Passed Renewal 54.5% 45.6%
Sandusky Fremont City Passed Renewal 56.4% 43.6%
Sandusky Woodmore Local Passed Renewal 57.3% 42.7%
Scioto Green Local Passed New 51.8% 48.2%
Seneca Bettsville Local Failed Renewal 49.6% 50.4%
Seneca Mohawk Local Failed New 38.8% 61.2%
Seneca Tiffin City Passed Renewal 62.0% 38.0%
Shelby Fairlawn Local Failed Renewal 48.8% 51.2%
Stark Canton Local Failed New 48.3% 51.7%
Stark Louisville City Failed New 48.9% 51.1%
Stark Marlington Local Failed New 39.5% 60.5%
Stark Marlington Local Passed Renewal 59.4% 40.6%
Stark Massillon City Passed New 50.1% 49.9%
Stark Minerva Local Passed Renewal 53.6% 46.4%
Stark Tuslaw Local Passed Renewal 62.3% 37.7%
Summit Akron City Passed New 59.5% 40.5%
Summit Barberton City Failed New 45.4% 54.6%
Summit Coventry Local Passed Renewal 60.5% 39.5%
Summit Hudson City Passed Renewal 65.7% 34.4%
Summit Nordonia Hills City Failed New 40.1% 60.0%
Summit Norton City Passed New 53.4% 46.6%
Summit Stow-Munroe Falls City Passed Renewal 57.6% 42.4%
Summit Tallmadge City Failed New 38.8% 61.3%
Summit Twinsburg City Passed New 53.9% 46.1%
Summit Woodridge Local Passed New 55.5% 44.6%
Trumbull Brookfield Local Failed New 39.4% 60.6%
Trumbull Champion Local Failed New 48.6% 51.4%
Trumbull Howland Local Passed Renewal 60.2% 39.9%
Trumbull Joseph Badger Local Passed Renewal 51.9% 48.2%
Trumbull Mathews Local Passed New 50.2% 49.8%
Tuscarawas Buckeye JVSD Passed New 54.5% 45.5%
Tuscarawas Dover City Passed Renewal 55.8% 44.2%
Tuscarawas Dover City Passed Renewal 53.8% 46.2%
Tuscarawas New Philadelphia City Passed Renewal 64.6% 35.4%
Tuscarawas Strasburg-Franklin Passed Renewal 59.6% 40.4%
Tuscarawas Tuscarawas Valley Passed Renewal 61.9% 38.1%
Union Marysville EV Failed New 41.7% 58.3%
Van Wert Vantage Career Center Passed Renewal 67.4% 32.6%
Warren Carlisle Local Failed New 49.0% 51.0%
Washington Warren Local Failed New 38.7% 61.3%
Wayne Orrville City Failed New 38.1% 61.9%
Wayne Triway Local Passed Renewal 59.5% 40.5%
Wood Bowling Green City Failed New 47.7% 52.3%
Wood Perrysburg EV Passed New 51.3% 48.8%

State Board of Ed 2012 Results

In the 7 races for State Board of education, 4 pro-public education candidates won.

Ann Jacobs defeat former OSU QB and Kasich appointee Stanley Jackson handily 65-35. Both Mary Rose Oakar and Stephanie Dodd also handily beat their opponents 63-37 and 60-24-15 respectively, with Michael Collins narrowly defeated his 2 opponents to be reelected.

Bryan Williams, Jeff Hardin, both incumbents defeated their pro-public education opponents. To round out the results, Sarah Fowler, a home-school graduate was also elected.

The State board of education has a lot of work to do, as the Dispatch notes

The new board has some heavy lifting to do in the coming year, starting with the hiring of a state superintendent. The post has been vacant since early August, when Stan Heffner resigned after an ethics probe.

The board also must fix state-issued report cards that have been manipulated by false data submitted by school districts, and oversee implementation of Ohio’s third-grade reading guarantee and more-rigorous curriculum standards.

Let's hope the pro public education voices are listened to. We'll be watching closely.

Campaign 2012 Election Live Blog

12:09 p.m.
We're closing down the live blog. We'll be bringing all the relevant election results tomorrow, ahem, later today, - school levies, state board of ed, state legislature.

11:27 p.m.
Obama projected to win NV

11:27 p.m.
Incumbent house GOPers appear to have lost: Craig Newbold in HD5 to challenger Nick Barborak 50.44% to 49.56% and Rep. Casey Kozlowski has lost to John Patterson 52.78% to 47.22%.

11:13 p.m.
NBC calls Ohio for Obama. President Obama will be reelected to a second term.

11:10 p.m.
IA called for Obama. Romney now has to run the table to win.

11:02 p.m.
CO, CA, WA, HI called for Obama.
NC, ID, Called for Romney
Too early to call in OR

10:54 p.m.
Sadly, it looks like teachers Donna O'Connor (HD21) and Maureen Reedy (HD24) are going to narrowly lose

10:49 p.m.
MO called for Romney

10:44 p.m.
MN called for Obama

10:36 p.m.
Ohio Supreme Court Justice Yvette McGee Brown trails Sharon Kennedy 43%-57% of the vote, with 54% reporting

10:34 p.m.
As expected, Mitt Romney wins AZ.

10:32 p.m.
Teachers Tanyce Addison (SD26) and Teresa Scarmack (SD-20) are both trailing 40-60, with few precincts left to report.

10:17 p.m.
Ohio state Issues 1 & 2 both going down b y 69% and 64% respectively with 51% of precincts reporting.

10:13 p.m.
As of this time, in the race for the Ohio State Board of Education...
QB Stanley Jackson looks destined for defeat trailing 35-65
Districts 5 & 6 are close
Sarah Fowler, a 23 year old home schooler is going to win in District 7
Pro public education candidates Stephanie Dodd and Mary Rose Oakar are headed to victory
Tood Book, sadly looks destined for defeat.

9:35 p.m.
Another swing state, NH, is called for Obama.

9:26 p.m.
AP Calls Sherrod Brown reelected as Senator from Ohio

First swing state, WI called for Obama

9:15 p.m.
PA called for Obama

Education related, voters in South Dakota so far want to keep teacher tenure. 70 against repealing it, 29% for.

9:03 p.m.
All as expected...
NM, NY, MI are called for Obama.
TX, LA, KS, NE, ND, SD, WY, are called for Romney
AZ, MN, PA too early to call

8:32 p.m.
Teacher Donna O'Connor: 11,558, Duffey (Incumbent) 10,776 in early/absentee voting
Teacher Maureen L. Reedy: 12,082, Stephanie Kunze: 10,535 in early/absentee voting

8:29 p.m.
According to early vote totals Issue 2 is doing very badly. 57 of 88 counties have voted against measure.

8:03 p.m.
DC, DE, RI, ME, CT, MD, MA and IL are called for Obama.
MS, TN, AL, OK are called for Romney
Still too early to call in PA, NJ, MO, OH, NC, VA, FL

7:42 p.m.
Folks are still in line to vote in a number of locations around Ohio, including OSU

7:37 p.m.
SC called for Romney as expected.

7:32 p.m.
As expected so far. CNN calls WV, IN, KY, for Romney. VT for Obama.

A CNN exit poll has Obama 51, Romney 48 in Ohio. Exit poll in NC was 49-49 which was supposed to be Romney +4%

7:30 p.m.
The polls in Ohio are closed, and is being categorized as "too close to call" by NBC.

7:16 p.m.
Here's the times for poll closings:
7:00 pm: GA, IN, KY, SC, VT, VA
7:30 pm: NC, OH, WV
8:00 pm: AL, CT, DE, DC, FL, IL, ME, MD, MA, MS, MO, NH, NJ, OK, PA, RI, TN
8:30 pm: AR
9:00 pm: AZ, CO, KS, LA, MI, MN, NE, NM, NY, ND, SD, TX, WI, WY
10:00 pm: IA, MT, NV, UT
11:00 pm: CA, HI, ID, OR, WA
1:00 am: AK

An AFL poll of Ohio union members has found that SB5 has had a significant effect on union members

Ohio union members are energized and overwhelmingly supporting President Obama and Senator Brown for reelection.

By a 41-point margin, Ohio union members are voting for President Obama (70%) over Mitt Romney (29%) in the presidential race. The early vote among Ohio union members tilts even more heavily in President Obama’s favor (79% to 21%).

Obama’s support among Ohio union members has increased by five percentage points since 2008. Our Election Night and post-election polling in 2008 showed Obama winning 65% of the Ohio union vote, so even accounting for each poll’s margin of error, Obama currently is performing at least as well among Ohio members, if not better, than he did in 2008.

Senator Sherrod Brown also is in a strong position to win Ohio thanks to strong support among the state’s union members, among whom he leads Josh Mandel by 70% to 29%.

According to an NEA poll, 8 out of 10 people had education as a top priority.

The NYT has an interactive tool that will show you who needs what states to win.

Official live results can be seen at the Secretary of States website, here.

Teachers to the legislative rescue

We brought HB555 to your attention quite some time ago. Yet another vehicle for school "reform". It was mothballed, but now appears to be getting a dust-off according to Gongwer, and readied for lame duck action

The House Education Committee is scheduled to meet on three days in the week following the election, and the chairman said Thursday the yet-to-be-completed report card rating bill will be top priority during lame duck.

With meetings set for the afternoons of Nov. 13-15, Chairman Rep. Gerald Stebelton (R-Lancaster) said it is possible the committee will hear other bills, but the main focus will be on legislation to revamp the state's grade cards for school districts and buildings.

Rep. Stebelton introduced a placeholder bill during the summer (HB 555) that currently contains language stating the General Assembly's intent to put in place a system by Dec. 31. He said Thursday, however, the bill is not "totally completed yet."

"The subject matter of 555 is the highest priority (for lame duck)," he said in an interview. "We've had a lot of negotiations and there's still a lot of moving parts."

Mr. Stebelton said he is hopeful the legislature can reach consensus with the governor's office in time to have the bill passed by the end of the year as intended. He has been working with administration officials, the Department of Education and the Senate, he said.

Rep Stableton would be wise to wait just a short while, he might have some actual educators join him in the state legislature, who can help guide him to better policy, instead of creating a mess like this one

Reading Guarantee: Mr. Sawyers said the department is asking for a change during lame duck session to the third-grade guarantee, specifically to a requirement that students with a reading deficiency be assigned to a teacher with a "reading endorsement."

Because teachers with such a certification are few and far between, the agency wants clarification that would align the requirement of a high-performing teacher with the reading endorsement for the time being because acquiring the training for the title requires 12 to 16 semester hours of college credit, he said.

"It's not practical that between January of 2013 - if they're not already in a fall semester someplace - between January and then when they will start again in August that we're going to have this mad rush of people going out to get this reading endorsement (and) that can actually complete 12 to 18 semester hours of credit," Mr. Sawyers said.

"There's got to be an alternative, ultimately, that's put in place for fall (2013), so we're proposing to the General Assembly, what could that alternative be?"

Oh dear. We wrote about the mixed messages and policy mess the legislature has caused with this, so it's good to see ODE acknowledge the problems too. But, these are the kinds of problems that simply would not occur if legislatures with no education experience or background listened to those who have, and hopefully come January, that will include a number of colleagues.

Final Campaign 2012 recap

We've covered a lot of ground during campaign 2012, and wanted to recap some of the important pieces you will want to keep in mind.

School Levies
There are a lot of levies on the ballot, as a result of the Kasich budget cuts. You can see a list of them here , organizned by county, type and whether they are requests for new money or continuations.

State Board of Education
There are 7 state board of election seats up for grab, here's our primer on those, including some bios of pro public education candidates.

Voting Checklist
Confused by the shifting voting requirements caused by politicians seeking their own advantage? Here's a handy checklist of what you need to vote, and what your rights are.

Union Candidates
Remember SB5? So do these union members who decided to run for office. If you're lucky, one of them will be on your ballot. One such member is Donna O'Connor, who has inspired so many people with her positive vision and strong leadership. Check the link to see all the union members running on pro-worker platforms.

The Big One - President
We've written a lot about the race for the Presidency, but we'll leave it in the hands of the candidates own visions to make closing arguments

President Obama's 2nd term plan for education.
Mitt Romney: Mr. Corporate Ed.

Issue 2: Voters First, Not Politicians
A YES on Issue 2 puts voters first.